US500: A further correction towards 5192 before resuming purchases.
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 5220... Bullish Scenario: Buys above 5225 (if price fails to break below decisively) ...
GOLD: wait, wait, and buy
2020-12-17 • Updated
Gold crossed the December highs of 1 875. By doing so, it entered the zone of two-month resistance reversing the losses of November. To complete the pattern, it would need to reach 1 900. That will likely happen in the mid-term, however, it is strongly advised to factor in the possibility of a downward retrace to 1 850 before or the area above it before an upswing takes the gold price to 1 900.
Therefore, tactically, it is advised that you wait and watch so far. The current bullish rally has been pretty powerful and may exhaust itself at any moment. When that happens, gold may into either a flattening period or retrace downward. A correction to the zone of 1 850 – 1 860 seems more likely. If that happens, that will be the recommended moment to enter the market.
Now, strategically, the channel 1 875 – 1 900 is the upper frontier of the five-month downtrend gold has been in since August. Most of the time, it has been trading below the primary resistance. However, the October high of 1 960 created a reference point to believe that there may be a secondary resistance – which is where the gold price may be aiming at. In any case, that just adds momentum to the potential of a bearish reversal: crossing the five-month resistance zone requires some effort, and even if 1 900 is reached in one shot, it will likely send the price downwards before it comes back up again.
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